The Dallas Stars are set to host the Edmonton Oilers in Game 1 of the 2025 Stanley Cup Playoffs Western Conference Final this Wednesday. Edmonton, with star Connor McDavid, clinched their spot by winning Game 5 against the Vegas Golden Knights 1-0 in overtime last Wednesday. Dallas advanced from their second-round series against the Winnipeg Jets, winning Game 6 by a score of 2-1 in overtime last Saturday. Puck drop is scheduled for 8 p.m. ET at the American Airlines Center in Dallas.
Betting Odds
Looking at the latest odds for the Stars vs. Oilers game, Dallas is favored on the money line at -125, meaning a $125 wager would win $100. Edmonton is the underdog at +105, where a $100 bet returns $105. The total number of goals (over/under) is set at 6.5. Dallas is also favored on the puck line at -1.5 with odds of +190.
Model Analysis
SportsLine`s projection model, which simulates each NHL game 10,000 times, has analyzed the matchup. The model has a strong track record in the 2025 NHL playoffs, with a combined 80-56 record on top-rated puck-line and over/under picks, resulting in significant returns for bettors.
Best Bets
Based on its analysis, the model`s top picks for the Stars vs. Oilers game on Wednesday are:
- Stars -1.5 on the puck line with odds of +190
- Under 6.5 total goals with odds of -105
Pick Justification
Why pick Stars -1.5? Dallas boasts a six-game winning streak at home and has covered the puck line in their last three home contests, winning two of those by at least two goals. The model predicts Dallas will cover the -1.5 puck line in over half of its simulations for Game 1.
Why pick Under 6.5 goals? The Under has been the outcome in the last two Oilers games and the last three Stars games. Dallas goalie Jake Oettinger contributed to the Under in five out of six starts in the previous series against Winnipeg, while Edmonton`s starter Stuart Skinner recorded shutouts in his final two appearances against Vegas.
