Game 4 of the 2025 Stanley Cup playoffs conference semifinals is set for Tuesday, featuring the Dallas Stars hosting the Winnipeg Jets. Dallas currently holds a significant 2-1 series lead after their 5-2 victory on Sunday, a game where Mikko Rantanen made a notable contribution to the scoring. The face-off is scheduled for 8 p.m. ET at the American Airlines Center in Dallas.
Looking at the odds, Dallas enters as the favorite with a -150 money line, while Winnipeg is the underdog at +125. The total goals over/under is positioned at 5.5. Dallas is also favored on the puck line, listed at -1.5 with +173 odds. These insights are informed by a robust simulation model that has analyzed the matchup extensively.
This particular model has demonstrated strong performance throughout the 2025 NHL playoffs, particularly excelling on top-rated puck-line and over/under selections. Its track record indicates potential profitability for those following its recommendations.
Here are some of the key predictions and best bets from the model for the upcoming Stars vs. Jets Game 4:
Total Goals Over 5.5 (-125): High-scoring affairs have been a trend for both teams in their recent playoff contests. The Over has occurred in four out of the Stars` five home playoff games and in all four of the Jets` road playoff appearances. Winnipeg`s goaltender, Connor Hellebuyck, has faced challenges when playing away from home in the postseason, allowing five or more goals in each road game. The model`s simulations strongly suggest the total will exceed 5.5 goals.
Mikko Rantanen to Score Anytime (+140): Mikko Rantanen has been an offensive powerhouse during the playoffs, accumulating 18 points through 9 goals and 9 assists over 10 games, including consecutive outings with hat tricks. He has found the back of the net in each of his last three home playoff games, including scoring in Game 3. Odds are favorable for Rantanen to score again in Game 4 at +140.
Goal Scored in First 10 Minutes Over 0.5 (-145): Expect an early offensive push in this game. Both Game 2 and Game 3 of the series saw multiple goals scored within the initial 10 minutes of play. Dallas has seen a goal scored within the opening 10 minutes in three of their five home playoff games. Furthermore, Hellebuyck has allowed a goal within the first 10 minutes in six of his ten playoff starts. The odds for an early goal stand at -145.
