The Edmonton Oilers face a must-win situation at home on Friday, trailing the Los Angeles Kings 0-2 in the first round of the NHL Stanley Cup Playoffs. The Kings took Game 1 narrowly with a 6-5 score, followed by a dominant 6-2 victory in Game 2 on Wednesday. For the Oilers to keep their Stanley Cup aspirations alive, winning Game 3 is crucial. Edmonton held a strong 25-13-3 home record in the regular season, contrasting with the Kings` less impressive 17-19-5 road performance.
SportsLine consensus odds list the Oilers as -148 money-line favorites for the home game, meaning a $148 bet would win $100. The Kings are the underdogs at +124. The projected total for goals is set at six.
For Edmonton to turn the series around, their star players must perform exceptionally. The Oilers boast arguably the world`s best player in Connor McDavid and fellow elite talent Leon Draisaitl. Despite missing 15 games, McDavid surpassed the 100-point mark for the eighth time. Draisaitl, who missed 11 games, led the NHL with 52 goals. In the first two playoff games, McDavid has recorded four points, while Draisaitl has tallied three, including two goals. These two players are central to Friday`s recommended NHL same-game parlay, developed using the SportsLine Projection Model. The model, which simulates each NHL game 10,000 times, provides top-rated prop picks, assigning ratings up to five stars. These highly-rated picks are crucial for building successful parlays across various betting platforms such as DraftKings, FanDuel, PrizePicks, Underdog Fantasy or Sleeper Fantasy, as well as same-game parlays on any available site.
Kings-Oilers Same-Game Parlay (+406)
- Connor McDavid Over 2.5 shots on goal (-130): 5 stars
- Connor McDavid Under 1.5 total points (-125): 5 stars
- Leon Draisaitl Under 1.5 total points (-170): 5 stars
The SportsLine model anticipates McDavid taking numerous shots against Kings goaltender Darcy Kuemper, though not necessarily translating into a high point total. The model favors the Over on his 2.5 shots on goal prop, projecting 3.5. McDavid`s average is 4.2 shots in his last five home games where the Oilers are favorites, exceeding this prop in four instances. However, for points, the model predicts the Edmonton star will land at 0.4 total points on Friday, falling below his 1.5 line. McDavid has finished under his total points prop in five of his past eight games versus teams with winning records.
Similarly, the model advises taking the Under for Leon Draisaitl`s points prop, which is also set at 1.5. The projection for Draisaitl against the Kings in Game 3 is 0.6 points. He has gone under his total points prop in four of his last five games facing teams with winning records, averaging 1.2 total points.
