The Vegas Golden Knights face elimination as they host the Edmonton Oilers for Game 5 of their 2025 Stanley Cup playoff conference semifinals series on Wednesday. Led by Connor McDavid, the Oilers secured a commanding 3-1 series lead with a 3-0 shutout victory in Game 4 in Edmonton on Monday. Puck drop is set for T-Mobile Arena in Paradise, NV at 9:30 p.m. ET.
The latest odds show Vegas as a -127 favorite on the moneyline, meaning a $127 wager would win $100. Edmonton is the underdog at +107, where a $100 bet could win $107. The over/under for total goals scored is set at 6.5. Vegas is also favored on the puck line at -1.5 with odds of +187.
Expert analysis offers predictions for this crucial Game 5. A projection model with a strong playoff track record provides key insights. Here are some of the top recommendations based on this analysis:
Pick 1: Under 6.5 Total Goals (+110)
This pick favors defense and goaltending prevailing in this pivotal matchup. Vegas boasts a strong home defense, allowing just 2.41 goals per game during the regular season. The Under has hit in two of Adin Hill`s last three starts at T-Mobile Arena. Additionally, Stuart Skinner is coming off a strong 23-save shutout performance in Game 4. The projection model anticipates the Under hitting in nearly 60% of simulations.
Pick 2: Connor McDavid Over 3.5 Shots on Goal (+120)
Edmonton`s captain, Connor McDavid, has been consistently active in generating offense, exceeding 3.5 shots on goal in four of his last five playoff games, including five shots in each of the last two contests. He has registered a total of 40 shots through 10 playoff games this postseason.
