The Carolina Hurricanes aim to extend their series lead against the Washington Capitals in Game 4 of the 2025 Stanley Cup Playoffs conference semifinals on Monday. Rod Brind`Amour`s team currently holds a 2-1 advantage after shutting out the Capitals 4-0 in Game 3. The game is scheduled for 7 p.m. ET at PNC Arena in Raleigh, NC.
Betting odds for the game show Carolina as a significant favorite on the moneyline (-267), while Washington is the underdog (+217). The total goals over/under is set at 5.5, and Carolina is favored on the puck line at -1.5 (+102). Before placing bets, consider predictions from a proven NHL projection model that simulates each game multiple times.
Prediction: Capitals +1.5 Puck Line (-123)
Game 3 was only the fourth time Washington has been shut out all season, suggesting they are unlikely to repeat that performance. A projection model favors the Capitals to keep Game 4 close enough to cover the +1.5 puck line. They have shown resilience, winning Game 4 in the previous series and bouncing back from a Game 1 loss against Carolina to win Game 2.
Player Prop: Logan Thompson – Over 27.5 Shots Faced (-105)
Washington`s goaltender has seen a high volume of shots throughout the playoffs, facing 28 or more in seven of his eight starts. Given Carolina`s offensive pressure, expect him to face a significant number of shots again in Game 4.
Player Prop: Alex Ovechkin – 4+ Shots on Goal (+115)
Alex Ovechkin, despite not scoring in the series yet, has been actively shooting. He has registered four or more shots on goal in three of his last five games, indicating he is still generating chances.
