Game 6 of the 2025 Stanley Cup playoff conference semifinals between the Florida Panthers and the Toronto Maple Leafs is scheduled for Friday at Amerant Bank Arena in Sunrise, Florida. The Panthers, who are the reigning Stanley Cup champions, currently lead the series 3-2 after a decisive 6-1 victory in Game 5 on Wednesday. Puck drop is set for 8 p.m. ET.
According to the latest odds, Florida is favored on the money line at -243, meaning a $243 wager would win $100. Toronto is listed as the underdog at +197, where a $100 bet could yield $197. The total goals over/under is set at 5.5. Florida also has a puck line of -1.5 with odds of +115. Bettors seeking advice before placing wagers should consult predictions from the reputable SportsLine model.
This model has a strong track record, holding a combined 79-55 record on top-rated NHL puck-line and over/under picks in the 2025 playoffs, generating over $1,600 in profit for $100 bettors.
Best Bets for Panthers vs. Maple Leafs
Based on its analysis, here are some top picks from the model for Friday`s game:
Maple Leafs +1.5 (-137): Despite the large margin in Game 5, the model forecasts a closer contest for Game 6. Three of the five games in the series have been decided by just one goal, and four have exceeded the total goals line, pointing to potentially high offensive output. The model predicts Toronto covering the puck line in nearly 80% of simulations.
Player Prop: Auston Matthews Over 3.5 Shots on Goal (-115): Toronto`s star center, Auston Matthews, has consistently generated offense, recording at least three shots on goal in all but one playoff game this season. He has totaled 20 shots in the five games against the Panthers in this series, including a six-shot performance in the recent Game 5 loss. Expect him to continue being aggressive on offense.
Betting Note: This prop bet is available with odds of -115.
Player Prop: Matthew Tkachuk Over 0.5 Points (-110): Matthew Tkachuk has been productive against the Maple Leafs, tallying four points in the first five games of this series. He has registered at least one point in each of the last three games. Including their regular-season meeting this year, Tkachuk has accumulated five points in six games versus Toronto.
Betting Note: The odds for this player prop are -110.
