The Dallas Stars are set to host the Winnipeg Jets for Game 6 of their 2025 Stanley Cup playoffs conference semifinals series on Saturday. Dallas had established a strong 3-1 lead in this second-round matchup, but Winnipeg successfully fought off elimination on their home ice with a 4-0 victory in Game 5. The puck drop is scheduled for 8 p.m. ET at American Airlines Center in Dallas.
According to the latest odds, Dallas is favored on the money line (-155), while Winnipeg is listed as an underdog (+130). The over/under for total goals scored is set at 5.5. Dallas is also offered at -1.5 (+165) on the puck line. Before making any wagers on the Jets vs. Stars game, it is recommended to review the NHL predictions provided by SportsLine`s well-regarded model.
The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NHL game 10,000 times. Heading into the second week of the 2025 NHL playoffs conference semifinals, the model boasts a solid record on top-rated NHL puck-line and over/under betting selections, showing positive returns for those following its advice.
Best Bets for Stars vs. Jets on Saturday
Over 5.5 Total Goals
While the last two games in this series have resulted in fewer than 5.5 goals, the model does not anticipate that trend continuing for Game 6. Winnipeg`s goaltender, Connor Hellebuyck, despite recording a 22-save shutout in Game 5, holds an 0-5 record in road playoff games with a high 5.84 goals-against average. In contrast, the Stars have consistently scored well at home during the playoffs, netting three or more goals in five consecutive home games, including a 5-2 win at American Airlines Center in Game 3. The SportsLine model predicts that over 5.5 goals will be scored in a significant majority of its simulations.
Kyle Connor to record 2+ points
Kyle Connor`s offensive production has recently picked up steam, registering four points in his last three games after a somewhat quieter stretch following a strong first round. Notably, he scored a goal and recorded seven shots in Game 3 in Dallas. He currently leads his team with 16 points (five goals, 11 assists) in 12 postseason games.
Mikko Rantanen to record over 1.5 points
Mikko Rantanen did not register a point in Game 5, which might explain why the over on his point total is listed at plus odds. However, the Finnish forward leads all players in the playoffs with an impressive 19 points (nine goals, 10 assists) through 12 games. He has also exceeded the 1.5 point mark in three of his last four appearances on home ice during the playoffs.
