Game 5 in the series between the Colorado Avalanche and the Dallas Stars is set for Monday, April 28th. The puck drop is scheduled for 9:30 p.m. ET at the American Airlines Center in Dallas. The series is currently tied 2-2 after four contests, with both teams having secured a victory on the road. Colorado won the opening game in Dallas, while the Stars claimed overtime wins in Games 2 and 3. Colorado dominated Game 4, winning 4-0 with goals from key players Nathan MacKinnon and Gabriel Landeskog.
Based on the latest consensus odds from SportsLine, the Colorado Avalanche are favored on the moneyline at -140 (meaning a $140 wager wins $100), while the Dallas Stars are home underdogs listed at +118 (a $100 wager wins $118). The over/under for total goals is set at 6.
Nathan MacKinnon started the series strongly, contributing two goals and an assist in Colorado`s 5-1 victory in Game 1. However, he managed just one combined goal across Games 2 and 3 before finding the net again in the Game 4 win. Despite a relatively lower goal tally of 32 in the regular season, the Avalanche superstar surpassed the 100-point mark for the third consecutive year, largely thanks to his league-best 84 assists. A critical question for this pivotal Game 5 is which level of offensive production MacKinnon will deliver.
SportsLine Projection Model Insights
The SportsLine Projection Model simulates each NHL game 10,000 times. The model provides highly-rated prop picks for individual players, assigning ratings up to five stars. These projections can be crucial tools for constructing winning parlays or same-game parlays across various betting platforms.
Same-Game Parlay Suggestion (+314 Payout)
- Nathan MacKinnon Under 1.5 points (-184): Rated 5 stars.
- Martin Necas Over 1.5 shots on goal (-190): Rated 5 stars.
- Brock Nelson Over 1.5 shots on goal (-132): Rated 5 stars.
MacKinnon has recorded one point or fewer in each of the last three games of this series. The SportsLine model forecasts him to have 0.4 points in Game 5. Historically, the Avalanche star has gone under his points line in nine of his last 10 matchups against teams with winning records. Martin Necas has registered at least one shot on goal in the past three games and shows an aggressive approach when playing on the road. The Avalanche center averages 2.8 shots on goal per game over his last 12 road appearances, hitting the over on his shots line eight times. Brock Nelson has combined for seven shots on goal in the last two games of the series and is projected by the SportsLine model to have 2.4 shots on goal in Game 5.