Analyzing the Odds: Who Leads the Pack for Golf’s Next Four Major Championships?

Golf

In the high-stakes world of professional golf, the future often feels tantalizingly unpredictable. Yet, if you consult the cold, hard numbers from the betting markets, a clearer picture emerges. As the sport looks ahead to the next cycle of major championships – The Open Championship, the Masters, the PGA Championship, and the U.S. Open – two names consistently sit atop the probability charts: Scottie Scheffler and Rory McIlroy.

Scheffler, currently halfway towards completing a career Grand Slam with multiple Masters titles and a PGA Championship already secured, is the bookmakers` consensus favorite for each of the upcoming four majors. McIlroy, on the other hand, is positioned as the solid second choice, having recently achieved his own career Grand Slam milestone with a win at the Masters (as per the stated timeline). Beyond this dominant duo, only Bryson DeChambeau manages to break the 10-to-1 odds barrier for any of these prestigious events, highlighting a perceived gulf between the top contenders and the rest of the field.

Upcoming Major Venues and Dates

Understanding the specific courses and dates provides context for these future predictions:

The 2025 Open Championship

Scheduled for July 17-20, golf`s oldest major returns to the links of Royal Portrush Golf Club in Northern Ireland. The anticipation is palpable for a return to the course where Shane Lowry delivered a memorable victory in 2019, the last time The Open was contested on this challenging layout. Xander Schauffele is the reigning champion of The Open, having claimed the Claret Jug at Royal Troon in 2024.

The 2026 Masters

Tradition dictates that the Masters is always played at Augusta National Club in Georgia. The next edition will take place from April 9-12. This follows the year where, according to the source data, Rory McIlroy secured his first Green Jacket, completing his career Grand Slam.

The 2026 PGA Championship

The Wanamaker Trophy will be on the line from May 14-17, 2026, at Aronimink Golf Club in Newtown Square, Pennsylvania. This historic course, dating back 129 years, will host the PGA Championship for only the second time, the first being in 1962 when it was won by the legendary Gary Player. Scottie Scheffler is expected to arrive as the defending champion, having won the 2025 edition.

The 2026 U.S. Open

The national championship heads to the iconic Shinnecock Hills Golf Club in Southampton, New York. Shinnecock Hills last hosted the U.S. Open in 2018, a tournament famously won by Brooks Koepka as part of his back-to-back victories in the event. J.J. Spaun is noted as the winner of the 2025 U.S. Open held at Oakhurst and enters 2026 with longer odds to repeat.

Market Confidence: The Futures Odds

Here is a look at the futures odds for selected players across the next four major championships, reflecting the current market sentiment:

Golfer The Open (2025) Masters (2026) PGA Champ. (2026) U.S. Open (2026)
Scottie Scheffler +475 +500 +450 +400
Rory McIlroy +500 +600 +550 +750
Bryson DeChambeau 12-1 12-1 +900 +800
Jon Rahm 12-1 14-1 14-1 12-1
Xander Schauffele 16-1 14-1 20-1 20-1
Ludvig Åberg 16-1 14-1 22-1 20-1
Collin Morikawa 16-1 14-1 22-1 25-1
Tommy Fleetwood 18-1 33-1 33-1 40-1
Viktor Hovland 22-1 28-1 33-1 28-1
Shane Lowry 22-1 40-1 50-1 40-1
Tyrrell Hatton 25-1 50-1 40-1 30-1
Robert MacIntyre 25-1 50-1 100-1 50-1
Brooks Koepka 33-1 28-1 40-1 40-1
Hideki Matsuyama 33-1 33-1 40-1 40-1
Patrick Cantlay 35-1 33-1 33-1 40-1
Russell Henley 35-1 66-1 66-1 50-1
Justin Thomas 40-1 20-1 18-1 30-1
Jordan Spieth 40-1 33-1 40-1 50-1
Cameron Smith 40-1 50-1 66-1 100-1
Justin Rose 40-1 50-1 100-1 100-1
Tony Finau 40-1 66-1 66-1 70-1
Tom Kim 40-1 100-1 100-1
Aaron Rai 40-1 125-1 100-1 110-1
Joaquín Niemann 50-1 33-1 33-1 40-1
Sahith Theegala 50-1 80-1 100-1 100-1
Matt Fitzpatrick 50-1 100-1 80-1 100-1
Min Woo Lee 66-1 50-1 80-1 70-1
Sungjae Im 66-1 66-1 66-1 100-1
Dustin Johnson 66-1 100-1 100-1 110-1
Adam Scott 66-1 100-1 125-1 70-1
Daniel Berger 66-1 125-1 60-1 100-1
Sam Burns 66-1 125-1 80-1 50-1
Cameron Young 66-1 125-1 80-1 70-1
Sepp Straka 70-1 66-1 50-1 40-1
Corey Conners 80-1 50-1 50-1 55-1
Jason Day 80-1 50-1 66-1 70-1
Akshay Bhatia 80-1 60-1 100-1 110-1
Wyndham Clark 80-1 80-1 80-1 100-1
Max Homa 80-1 80-1 80-1 110-1
Keegan Bradley 80-1 100-1 100-1 100-1
Billy Horschel 80-1 125-1
Brian Harman 80-1 150-1 100-1 175-1
Ryan Fox 80-1 150-1 100-1
Alex Noren 80-1 100-1
Louis Oosthuizen 80-1
Will Zalatoris 100-1 50-1 80-1 70-1
Sergio Garcia 100-1 80-1 150-1
Byeong Hun An 100-1 150-1 150-1 175-1
Nicolai Højgaard 100-1 150-1 200-1
Si Woo Kim 100-1 80-1 110-1
Davis Thompson 110-1 100-1 125-1
Harris English 125-1 150-1 100-1 100-1
Rasmus Højgaard 125-1 150-1 150-1 150-1
Rickie Fowler 125-1 150-1 110-1
Dean Burmester 125-1 150-1
Nico Echavarria 125-1
Christiaan Bezuidenhout 125-1
Thriston Lawrence 125-1
Tom McKibbin 150-1 200-1
Matthieu Pavon 150-1
Victor Perez 150-1
Abraham Ancer 150-1
Maverick McNealy 175-1 125-1 80-1 70-1
Denny McCarthy 200-1 150-1 100-1 150-1
Tiger Woods 200-1 200-1
Tom Hoge 200-1 200-1
Matt Wallace 200-1
Matthew Jordan 200-1
Matteo Manassero 200-1
Thorbjørn Olesen 250-1 200-1

While the numbers clearly favor Scheffler and McIlroy as the most likely contenders for future major titles, golf, bless its unpredictable heart, rarely follows the script perfectly. The challenges posed by historic courses like Royal Portrush, Augusta National, Aronimink, and Shinnecock Hills, coupled with the immense pressure of major championship Sundays, mean that any player on this list – or perhaps someone not even mentioned – could potentially rise to the occasion. The next four majors promise plenty of drama, regardless of what the betting sheets might suggest today.

Gideon Brant
Gideon Brant

Say hello to Gideon Brant, a dedicated writer based in Leeds, England. Specializing in sports news, he dives into rugby, boxing, and more with grit and flair. Gideon’s love for competition fuels his work, capturing the drama of every match.

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